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CFTC

U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission oversight.

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Regulation & policy

Senators push Clarity Act changes as debate over prediction markets intensifies

According to reporting by crypto.news, U.S. senators are considering amendments to the Clarity Act or the Farm Bill to preserve state and tribal control over sports prediction markets. This legislative effort responds to expanding federal oversight claims by the CFTC, though these policy proposals remain not officially confirmed.

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U.S. Capitol building representing congressional debates over prediction markets and the Clarity Actcrypto.news
CVKalshi, Polymarket, CFTC, Indian Gaming AssociationRegulation & policy

Senators push Clarity Act changes as debate over prediction markets intensifies

According to reporting by crypto.news, U.S. senators are considering amendments to the Clarity Act or the Farm Bill to preserve state and tribal control over sports prediction markets. This legislative effort responds to expanding federal oversight claims by the CFTC, though these policy proposals remain not officially confirmed.

CLARITY ActCFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
170
Tribal gaming regulators and senators discussing prediction market provisionstheblock.co via LBank
CVTehassi Hill / Indian Gaming AssociationCorporate & infrastructure

Tribal Gaming Regulators and Senators Make Renewed Push to Add Prediction Markets Provision to Clarity Act

According to reporting by LBank News referencing information from The Block, Indian Gaming Association Vice Chairman Tehassi Hill and supporting lawmakers are pushing for legislative amendments to the Clarity Act to restrict sports and casino gambling via prediction platforms, asserting that these activities must remain under state and tribal jurisdiction rather than CFTC oversight, though these developments are not officially confirmed by legislative leadership.

CLARITY ActCFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
171
Digital graphic representing the stalled Clarity Act legislative process and cryptocurrency market regulatory uncertainty.crypto.news
CVU.S. Congress / Senate Banking CommitteeRegulation & policy

The Clarity Act Stall: Why Crypto's Most Important Bill Could Fail and What Happens Next

Prediction markets indicate that the Clarity Act has a 37% probability of passing during the year 2026, as reported by crypto.news. Bernstein has warned that a potential legislative failure could trigger an asset selloff, while JPMorgan cautioned that prolonged delays might push tokenization off public blockchains entirely, though these projections remain not officially confirmed.

CLARITY ActSECCFTC
Rating impactNo score change
172
George Santos Kalshi CFTC settlement risk report graphiccrypto.news
CVGeorge SantosEnforcement & legal

George Santos Settles CFTC Kalshi Manipulation Case for Over $35,000

According to reporting by crypto.news, former U.S. Representative George Santos has agreed to return trading profits, pay a civil monetary penalty, and accept a three-year trading ban following a CFTC investigation into his prediction market activity on Kalshi. Regulators found that Santos made misleading public statements while betting on his own attendance at the State of the Union address, though the allegations remain not officially confirmed by independent judicial verdicts.

CFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
173
Financial district skyline representing regulatory risk analysis for digital assetsCoinDesk
CVBernsteinRegulation & policy

Bernstein Reports Potential Crypto Market Downturn If Clarity Act Stalls

According to CoinDesk reporting, broker Bernstein stated in a note that failure to pass the Clarity Act this year would likely send crypto lower, though U.S. regulators are expected to accelerate rulemaking. This assessment, which involves potential impacts on Coinbase and Circle, is not officially confirmed.

CLARITY ActSECCFTC
Rating impactNo score change
174
US Capitol building representing Senate legislative proceedingscrypto.news
CVUS SenateRegulation & policy

The Senate Has One Week: CLARITY's Last August Window

According to reporting by crypto.news on August 3, 2026, the CLARITY Act faces a critical legislative bottleneck in the United States Senate ahead of the scheduled August recess, with passage odds dropping significantly on prediction markets. The status of the market structure bill remains unconfirmed regarding procedural floor action, and these developments are not officially confirmed.

CLARITY ActSECCFTC
Rating impactNo score change