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Prediction markets
Event-contract venues, clearing and jurisdiction disputes.
Image: crypto.newsMinnesota Loses First Round Against Kalshi and Polymarket as Prediction Market Ban Blocked
According to reporting by crypto.news, Minnesota’s prediction market ban remains blocked as a federal judge granted a preliminary injunction. The development is not officially confirmed by the court's final merits ruling, reflecting an ongoing struggle between state gambling laws and federal regulatory preemption.
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crypto.newsMinnesota Loses First Round Against Kalshi and Polymarket as Prediction Market Ban Blocked
According to reporting by crypto.news, Minnesota’s prediction market ban remains blocked as a federal judge granted a preliminary injunction. The development is not officially confirmed by the court's final merits ruling, reflecting an ongoing struggle between state gambling laws and federal regulatory preemption.
crypto.newsCLARITY Act Odds Decline to 25 Percent as White House Reviews Bipartisan Ethics Proposal
According to reporting by crypto.news, prediction market probabilities for the passage of the CLARITY Act have dropped to 25% as the White House reviews a compromised bipartisan ethics proposal. The legislative development, which remains not officially confirmed by executive authorities, affects institutional investors, digital asset enterprises, and market participants tracking US regulatory clarity.
crypto.news via LBankCLARITY Act Odds Drop to 25% Amid White House Ethics Review
Prediction market traders on Polymarket currently assign a twenty-five percent probability to the CLARITY Act becoming law before the end of the year, following media reporting from crypto.news and LBank News. Anthony Scaramucci anticipates that the president will endorse the bipartisan ethics proposal, while senators reportedly submitted compromise language to the executive office. Senate leadership has not officially confirmed the timing of any upcoming floor action, and these reports remain unconfirmed.
crypto.newsBinance.US Pursues CFTC License for Regulated Prediction Markets: Not Officially Confirmed
Binance.US has reportedly confirmed plans to seek a Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) license, aiming to offer regulated prediction markets to U.S. retail customers. This move, as reported by crypto.news and attributed to comments from CEO Stephen Gregory, is not officially confirmed and would expand Binance.US’s business beyond spot crypto trading. The application is part of a broader recovery strategy, but ongoing legal uncertainty persists due to conflicting state and federal regulations. The report highlights the competitive landscape and regulatory challenges facing prediction market operators in the United States.
crypto.newsFederal Judge Denies CFTC’s Bid to Block Wisconsin Gambling Laws Against Prediction Markets
A federal judge in Wisconsin has denied the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) request for a preliminary injunction to prevent the state from enforcing its gambling laws against federally regulated prediction market platforms. The ruling, reported by crypto.news and not officially confirmed, means Wisconsin can pursue legal action against platforms such as Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Robinhood, and Coinbase for allegedly offering unlicensed sports betting. The CFTC intends to appeal, but the decision highlights ongoing uncertainty regarding the interplay between federal and state regulation of prediction markets.
crypto.newsCFTC Faces Coordinated Challenge from 44 States Regarding Prediction Market Rule
According to crypto.news, 44 state attorneys general have submitted a letter urging the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to withdraw and rewrite its proposed prediction market rule, arguing that it exceeds the agency’s authority and intrudes into areas traditionally regulated by states. This dispute, not officially confirmed, highlights ongoing tensions between federal and state oversight of sports-related prediction markets, with courts issuing conflicting rulings and major sports organizations expressing divergent views.