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Prediction markets

Event-contract venues, clearing and jurisdiction disputes.

78reports reviewed45entities covered3with primary evidence
Enforcement & legal

Senate Delay Reduces CLARITY Act Odds: Regulatory Uncertainty Persists

According to crypto.news, prediction markets have lowered the probability of the CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026 to 34%, as the U.S. Senate has postponed its vote to focus on Russia sanctions and federal nominations. The bill’s progress is now uncertain, and regulatory ambiguity continues to affect crypto markets. This report is not officially confirmed and is based solely on media reporting.

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Prediction markets

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Senate chamber with CLARITY Act documents and crypto symbolscrypto.news
CVU.S. SenateEnforcement & legal

Senate Delay Reduces CLARITY Act Odds: Regulatory Uncertainty Persists

According to crypto.news, prediction markets have lowered the probability of the CLARITY Act becoming law in 2026 to 34%, as the U.S. Senate has postponed its vote to focus on Russia sanctions and federal nominations. The bill’s progress is now uncertain, and regulatory ambiguity continues to affect crypto markets. This report is not officially confirmed and is based solely on media reporting.

CLARITY ActPrediction marketsSanctions
Rating impactNo score change
74
Prediction-market interface representing the Minnesota court disputeThe Block
CVKalshiEX LLC / Polymarket USEnforcement & legal

Federal judge blocks Minnesota prediction-market ban while litigation continues

A federal court granted a preliminary injunction preventing Minnesota from enforcing its new prediction-market statute against Kalshi and Polymarket while the court considers federal preemption.

CFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactJurisdictional access update
75
NFL logo and CFTC seal with sports prediction market graphicscrypto.news
CVNational Football League (NFL)Regulation & policy

NFL Requests CFTC to Strengthen Rules for High-Risk Sports Prediction Contracts

According to crypto.news, the National Football League (NFL) has sent a letter to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) urging the regulator to impose stricter rules on sports prediction contracts. The NFL argues that enhanced safeguards are necessary to protect game integrity and consumers, especially as prediction markets expand rapidly. This request, not officially confirmed, comes amid ongoing federal efforts to regulate event contracts and increasing tension between federal and state oversight. The NFL’s position diverges from other sports leagues that have partnered with prediction market platforms.

CFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
76
Digital illustration representing sports prediction market regulation and federal oversight.crypto.news via LBank
CVNational Football LeagueRegulation & policy

NFL Asks CFTC to Curb High-Risk Sports Prediction Contracts in New Regulatory Filing

The National Football League has reportedly requested the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to strengthen proposed prediction market rules to protect game integrity and consumer welfare. This development remains not officially confirmed by independent direct sources at this time.

CFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
77
American football and prediction-market regulationThe Block
CVNational Football League / U.S. event-contract venuesSecurity & incidents

NFL reportedly asks CFTC for stronger sports prediction-market safeguards

A reported NFL letter seeks tighter rules on vulnerable contracts, insider information, advertising, age limits, margin and the review period for sports event contracts.

CFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactNo current score change
78
U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission sealCoinDesk / Jesse Hamilton
CVU.S. designated contract marketsRegulation & policy

CFTC warns event-contract exchanges against broad template-style self-certification

The CFTC’s Division of Market Oversight says designated contract markets must provide contract-specific settlement, data-source and core-principles analysis instead of bundling many possible event markets into a generic filing.

CFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactProduct review tightened