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Image: crypto.newsThe Clarity Act Stall: Why Crypto's Most Important Bill Could Fail and What Happens Next
Prediction markets indicate that the Clarity Act has a 37% probability of passing during the year 2026, as reported by crypto.news. Bernstein has warned that a potential legislative failure could trigger an asset selloff, while JPMorgan cautioned that prolonged delays might push tokenization off public blockchains entirely, though these projections remain not officially confirmed.
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crypto.newsThe Clarity Act Stall: Why Crypto's Most Important Bill Could Fail and What Happens Next
Prediction markets indicate that the Clarity Act has a 37% probability of passing during the year 2026, as reported by crypto.news. Bernstein has warned that a potential legislative failure could trigger an asset selloff, while JPMorgan cautioned that prolonged delays might push tokenization off public blockchains entirely, though these projections remain not officially confirmed.
crypto.newsGeorge Santos Settles CFTC Kalshi Manipulation Case for Over $35,000
According to reporting by crypto.news, former U.S. Representative George Santos has agreed to return trading profits, pay a civil monetary penalty, and accept a three-year trading ban following a CFTC investigation into his prediction market activity on Kalshi. Regulators found that Santos made misleading public statements while betting on his own attendance at the State of the Union address, though the allegations remain not officially confirmed by independent judicial verdicts.
crypto.news via LBankCLARITY Act Stalls in United States Senate Amid Reported Ethics Stalemate and White House Silence
According to media reports published by LBank News and crypto.news, the CLARITY Act has stalled in the United States Senate because the White House has not officially responded to a bipartisan ethics counterproposal. Prediction market participants on Polymarket have adjusted their expectations, pricing the probability of the legislation becoming law this year down to 27 percent. Senate leadership has not filed cloture ahead of the legislative chamber recess, while analysts at Bernstein have warned that any sustained delay could provoke a knee-jerk sell-off across digital asset markets. These claims are not officially confirmed.
crypto.newsThe Senate Has One Week: CLARITY's Last August Window
According to reporting by crypto.news on August 3, 2026, the CLARITY Act faces a critical legislative bottleneck in the United States Senate ahead of the scheduled August recess, with passage odds dropping significantly on prediction markets. The status of the market structure bill remains unconfirmed regarding procedural floor action, and these developments are not officially confirmed.
crypto.newsMinnesota Loses First Round Against Kalshi and Polymarket as Prediction Market Ban Blocked
According to reporting by crypto.news, Minnesota’s prediction market ban remains blocked as a federal judge granted a preliminary injunction. The development is not officially confirmed by the court's final merits ruling, reflecting an ongoing struggle between state gambling laws and federal regulatory preemption.
crypto.newsCLARITY Act Odds Decline to 25 Percent as White House Reviews Bipartisan Ethics Proposal
According to reporting by crypto.news, prediction market probabilities for the passage of the CLARITY Act have dropped to 25% as the White House reviews a compromised bipartisan ethics proposal. The legislative development, which remains not officially confirmed by executive authorities, affects institutional investors, digital asset enterprises, and market participants tracking US regulatory clarity.