News topic

Prediction markets

Event-contract venues, clearing and jurisdiction disputes.

78reports reviewed45entities covered3with primary evidence
Regulation & policy

The CLARITY Act is Four Days From a Recess Grave, and Polymarket Already Buried It

The United States Senate confirmed that it will not hold a floor vote on the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act before the August recess, pushing the comprehensive market structure bill to a mid-September return window. Polymarket prediction odds for the bill becoming law in 2026 collapsed significantly following the announcement by Senate Majority Leader John Thune. This situation remains not officially confirmed by every single participating lawmaker, while industry stakeholders re-evaluate legislative calendars.

Latest coverage

Prediction markets

Page 10 of 13

55
U.S. Capitol dome representing legislative proceedingscrypto.news
CVU.S. SenateRegulation & policy

The CLARITY Act is Four Days From a Recess Grave, and Polymarket Already Buried It

The United States Senate confirmed that it will not hold a floor vote on the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act before the August recess, pushing the comprehensive market structure bill to a mid-September return window. Polymarket prediction odds for the bill becoming law in 2026 collapsed significantly following the announcement by Senate Majority Leader John Thune. This situation remains not officially confirmed by every single participating lawmaker, while industry stakeholders re-evaluate legislative calendars.

CLARITY ActPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
56
CFTC Chairman Michael Selig advocating for financial innovation in derivatives marketscrypto.news
CVCommodity Futures Trading CommissionCorporate & infrastructure

CFTC Leadership Advocates for Derivative Innovation Amid Multi-Trillion-Dollar Market Expansion

According to media reporting by crypto.news, CFTC Chairman Michael Selig expressed support for financial innovation in the global derivatives sector. The reported developments, which remain not officially confirmed by an independent official audit, highlight potential shifts in U.S. regulatory posture toward prediction markets and cryptocurrency derivatives.

CFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
57
U.S. Capitol building representing Senate legislative proceedings and regulatory developments.crypto.news
CVUnited States SenateCorporate & infrastructure

CLARITY Act Weekend Vote Fades as Senate Holds Off Procedural Steps

According to reporting by crypto.news published on August 6, 2026, the CLARITY Act's prospects for a weekend Senate vote diminished after congressional leadership declined to take procedural actions to advance the crypto market structure bill. Senate Majority Leader John Thune did not file cloture for the measure, opting instead to prioritize funding measures, nominations, and the Protect College Sports Act. Prediction markets adjusted the probability of passage in 2026 downward, while lawmakers continued behind-the-scenes negotiations. This reporting is not officially confirmed by legislative leadership.

CLARITY ActPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
58
Gavel resting on a legal document representing US legislative and regulatory uncertainty for crypto marketscrypto.news
CVUnited States SenateCorporate & infrastructure

CLARITY Act Legislative Delay Shifts Senate Passage Expectations to 2027

Prediction markets and crypto platforms are adjusting expectations for the CLARITY Act into 2027 after Senate leaders declined to initiate the necessary procedural votes prior to the August recess, as reported by crypto.news. These claims remain not officially confirmed by legislative leadership.

CLARITY ActSECCFTC
Rating impactNo score change
59
U.S. Capitol building representing congressional debates over prediction markets and the Clarity Actcrypto.news
CVKalshi, Polymarket, CFTC, Indian Gaming AssociationRegulation & policy

Senators push Clarity Act changes as debate over prediction markets intensifies

According to reporting by crypto.news, U.S. senators are considering amendments to the Clarity Act or the Farm Bill to preserve state and tribal control over sports prediction markets. This legislative effort responds to expanding federal oversight claims by the CFTC, though these policy proposals remain not officially confirmed.

CLARITY ActCFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
60
Tribal gaming regulators and senators discussing prediction market provisionstheblock.co via LBank
CVTehassi Hill / Indian Gaming AssociationCorporate & infrastructure

Tribal Gaming Regulators and Senators Make Renewed Push to Add Prediction Markets Provision to Clarity Act

According to reporting by LBank News referencing information from The Block, Indian Gaming Association Vice Chairman Tehassi Hill and supporting lawmakers are pushing for legislative amendments to the Clarity Act to restrict sports and casino gambling via prediction platforms, asserting that these activities must remain under state and tribal jurisdiction rather than CFTC oversight, though these developments are not officially confirmed by legislative leadership.

CLARITY ActCFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change