News topic

Prediction markets

Event-contract venues, clearing and jurisdiction disputes.

78reports reviewed45entities covered3with primary evidence
Enforcement & legal

CFTC orders Kalshi to keep operating in $36B New York fight

According to reporting by crypto.news, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission invoked emergency powers to keep Kalshi operating as New York seeks at least $36 billion and broad restrictions on event contracts, though these developments are not officially confirmed by judicial authorities.

Latest coverage

Prediction markets

Page 9 of 13

49
Federal and state regulatory clash over prediction markets and event contract tradingcrypto.news
CVKalshiEXEnforcement & legal

CFTC orders Kalshi to keep operating in $36B New York fight

According to reporting by crypto.news, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission invoked emergency powers to keep Kalshi operating as New York seeks at least $36 billion and broad restrictions on event contracts, though these developments are not officially confirmed by judicial authorities.

CFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
50
CFTC emergency order emblem over a New York skyline graphic representing prediction market regulatory disputes.CoinDesk
CVKalshiOperations & access

CFTC Orders Kalshi to Maintain New York Operations Following State Lawsuit

CoinDesk reported that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission utilized emergency authority to direct prediction market operator Kalshi to continue offering services in New York, following a state-level lawsuit seeking a shutdown. This unfolding development has not officially confirmed broader federal preemption boundaries.

CFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
51
Digital representation of legal gavel and prediction market interface symbolizing regulatory pausecrypto.news
CVPolymarketEnforcement & legal

CFTC Polymarket case paused over soldier's $400K bets

According to reporting by crypto.news, a federal judge has paused the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's civil enforcement case against a United States Army soldier accused of generating over $400,000 in profits from Polymarket event contracts tied to Nicolás Maduro's removal, noting that these allegations remain not officially confirmed by judicial finality.

CFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
52
Digital asset market structure legislation and United States Capitol building backdropcrypto.news via LBank
CVCoinbaseCorporate & infrastructure

CLARITY Act delay draws backlash before September vote

According to reporting from crypto.news, Senate leaders have filed cloture, setting up a procedural vote on the CLARITY Act for September 15. Industry executives and lawmakers have expressed frustration over the pre-recess failure, while ethics restrictions and stablecoin rewards remain unresolved as the bill seeks sixty votes. Prediction market traders currently assign a twenty-five percent probability that the legislation will become law during the year 2026, and these developments are not officially confirmed by regulatory agencies.

CLARITY ActStablecoin regulationPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
53
CFTC building facade representing federal regulatory oversight over prediction markets and derivatives.crypto.news
CVKalshiRegulation & policy

CFTC Warns Prediction Markets Over Gambling-Style Odds Display Amid State Jurisdictional Battles

According to reporting by crypto.news on August 7, 2026, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission instructed regulated prediction markets to refrain from displaying American-style gambling odds, noting that federal registration does not exempt platforms from strict derivatives marketing rules. This media report, which is not officially confirmed, highlights escalating tensions between federal regulators and state authorities over sports-related event contracts.

CFTCPrediction markets
Rating impactNo score change
54
Illustration representing the postponement of the CLARITY Act vote in the U.S. Senate and digital asset market reactions.crypto.news via LBank
CVBitwise / U.S. SenateCorporate & infrastructure

CLARITY Act Senate Vote Postponed to September Amid Impasse Over Digital Asset Rules

According to media reporting by crypto.news and LBank News, Senate leadership has postponed consideration of the CLARITY Act until September following stalled bipartisan negotiations. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan suggested the setback could prompt a brief market adjustment, while prediction markets indicate declining passage probability for 2026. These developments, which are not officially confirmed by legislative authorities, highlight ongoing disputes regarding ethics rules, illicit finance provisions, and stablecoin rewards.

CLARITY ActStablecoin regulationSEC
Rating impactNo score change